Garrett WilsonorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tetairoa McMillan comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tetairoa McMillan projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Garrett Wilson faces the New England Patriots (4% fewer than average to WRs), Tetairoa McMillan faces the Philadelphia Eagles (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 13.3 |
| PPR projection | 15.5 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | WR8 |
| Matchup | at NE | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 89% |
| Trade value | 32 | 36 |