George PickensorRashee Rice?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice outscores George Pickens in 59% of simulations.

George Pickens still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Rashee Rice is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rashee Rice projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Rashee Rice faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs), George Pickens faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to WRs). George Pickens is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

George Pickens
Floor
0.0
Median
9.9
Ceiling
21.8
Big game (20+):
13%
Dud (under 6):
27%
Rashee Rice
Floor
5.7
Median
12.5
Ceiling
23.0
Big game (20+):
17%
Dud (under 6):
12%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatGeorge PickensWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETRashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.213.6
PPR projection13.516.5
Standard projection8.910.6
Rank this weekWR14WR6
Matchupat INDvs NYJ
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game10.611.6
Last season per game14.415.5
Snap share, last game57%57%
Trade value2440