Garrett WilsonorLadd McConkey?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson outscores Ladd McConkey in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Ladd McConkey comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Ladd McConkey has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that. Garrett Wilson is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Garrett Wilson
Floor
0.0
Median
8.6
Ceiling
19.2
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
34%
Ladd McConkey
Floor
2.7
Median
7.7
Ceiling
17.0
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatGarrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETLadd McConkeyWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.89.1
PPR projection12.111.0
Standard projection7.67.1
Rank this weekWR24WR27
Matchupvs BUFat BAL
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game11.57.2
Last season per game11.69.2
Snap share, last game81%90%
Trade value15—