Josh DownsorKC Concepcion?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Josh Downs in 61% of simulations.
Josh Downs still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so KC Concepcion is the better bet, not a sure thing. KC Concepcion projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: KC Concepcion faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% more than average to WRs), Josh Downs faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR22 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |