DK MetcalforKC Concepcion?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores KC Concepcion in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: KC Concepcion comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean DK Metcalf, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 9.2 half-PPR points in Week 8. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% more than average to WRs); DK Metcalf faces the Cleveland Browns (5% fewer than average to WRs). DK Metcalf still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR21 | WR22 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.6 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 79% |
| Trade value | 7 | 3 |