DK MetcalforJameson Williams?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Jameson Williams in 56% of simulations.
Jameson Williams still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so DK Metcalf is the better bet, not a sure thing. DK Metcalf projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: DK Metcalf faces the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs), Jameson Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (7% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jameson WilliamsWR, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.1 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR18 |
| Matchup | vs IND | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.8 | 7.7 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 99% |
| Trade value | 13 | 11 |