DK MetcalforTerry McLaurin?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Terry McLaurin in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Terry McLaurin comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean DK Metcalf, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Terry McLaurin projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: DK Metcalf faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1% fewer than average to WRs), Terry McLaurin faces the San Francisco 49ers (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Terry McLaurinWR, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 11.0 | 11.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR21 |
| Matchup | at TB | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 58% |
| Trade value | 6 | 8 |