Jaylen WaddleorMalik Nabers?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Malik Nabers
Malik Nabers outscores Jaylen Waddle in 67% of simulations.
Jaylen Waddle still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so Malik Nabers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Malik Nabers projects 6.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Carolina Panthers (11% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 10.2 | 17.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 11.3 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR5 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 73% |
| Trade value | 1 | 41 |