DK MetcalforStefon Diggs?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Stefon Diggs in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Stefon Diggs comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean DK Metcalf, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DK Metcalf projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: DK Metcalf faces the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs), Stefon Diggs faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.1 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR17 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.8 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 66% |
| Trade value | 13 | 13 |