DK MetcalforKeon Coleman?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Keon Coleman in 55% of simulations.
Keon Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so DK Metcalf is the better bet, not a sure thing. DK Metcalf projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: DK Metcalf faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1% fewer than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the Las Vegas Raiders (6% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.1 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR28 |
| Matchup | at TB | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 70% |
| Trade value | 5 | — |