Jakobi MeyersorJaylen Waddle?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle outscores Jakobi Meyers in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jakobi Meyers comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jaylen Waddle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jaylen Waddle has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs); Jakobi Meyers faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jakobi Meyers
Floor
3.5
Median
7.9
Ceiling
14.8
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
32%
Jaylen Waddle
Floor
2.9
Median
8.0
Ceiling
17.2
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
34%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETJaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.79.2
PPR projection10.611.1
Standard projection6.87.3
Rank this weekWR30WR26
Matchupat CINat SF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.18.0
Last season per game8.610.1
Snap share, last game81%73%
Trade value53