A.J. BrownorDeebo Samuel Sr.?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores A.J. Brown in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: A.J. Brown comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Deebo Samuel Sr. faces the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs), A.J. Brown faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | WR30 | WR26 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 43% |
| Trade value | 5 | 7 |