Chris OlaveorDenzel Boston?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Chris Olave

Chris Olave outscores Denzel Boston in 68% of simulations.

Denzel Boston still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Chris Olave is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Olave projects 3.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Denzel Boston has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Olave
Floor
5.3
Median
11.7
Ceiling
21.4
Big game (20+):
13%
Dud (under 6):
14%
Denzel Boston
Floor
3.1
Median
8.1
Ceiling
15.8
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
33%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

Share this

StatChris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETDenzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.69.0
PPR projection15.610.9
Standard projection9.57.0
Rank this weekWR11WR31
Matchupvs CARvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game14.29.6
Last season per game13.6—
Snap share, last game85%93%
Trade value35—