Deebo Samuel Sr.orLuther Burden III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Luther Burden III in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Luther Burden III projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs); Luther Burden III faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 12.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| Rank this week | WR26 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 57% |
| Trade value | 7 | 14 |