Jakobi MeyersorMike Evans?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Mike Evans
Mike Evans outscores Jakobi Meyers in 66% of simulations.
Jakobi Meyers still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Mike Evans is the better bet, not a sure thing. Mike Evans projects 3.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Mike Evans faces the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs), Jakobi Meyers faces the Tennessee Titans (22% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 15.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR11 |
| Matchup | at TEN | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.6 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 40% |
| Trade value | — | 18 |