Mike EvansorRashee Rice?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Mike Evans in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Evans comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Rashee Rice, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rashee Rice projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Rashee Rice faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Rashee Rice still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 22.3
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike EvansWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.8 | 15.9 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR13 | WR10 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.9 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 63% | 77% |
| Trade value | 20 | 38 |