Caleb DouglasorDeebo Samuel Sr.?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Caleb Douglas in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Caleb Douglas comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Caleb Douglas faces the Indianapolis Colts (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| PPR projection | 12.5 | 13.1 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 8.8 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR21 |
| Matchup | at IND | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 43% |
| Trade value | 9 | 5 |