Mike EvansorOmar Cooper Jr.?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Omar Cooper Jr.
Omar Cooper Jr. outscores Mike Evans in 61% of simulations.
Mike Evans still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Omar Cooper Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Omar Cooper Jr. projects 3.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Omar Cooper Jr. faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Omar Cooper Jr. still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 26%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Omar Cooper Jr.WR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 15.6 |
| PPR projection | 15.0 | 18.8 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 12.4 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR7 |
| Matchup | at DAL | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.6 | 13.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 86% |
| Trade value | 18 | 51 |