DeMario DouglasorJaylin Noel?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DeMario Douglas
DeMario Douglas outscores Jaylin Noel in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylin Noel comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean DeMario Douglas, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DeMario Douglas projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (14% more than average to WRs); Jaylin Noel faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.0 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR37 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 5.0 | 3.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 49% |
| Trade value | — | — |