DeMario DouglasorJaylen Waddle?

Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle outscores DeMario Douglas in 55% of simulations.

DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jaylen Waddle is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (14% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeMario Douglas
Floor
1.4
Median
6.3
Ceiling
18.1
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
48%
Jaylen Waddle
Floor
2.6
Median
7.4
Ceiling
16.1
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
38%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ETJaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.48.6
PPR projection10.010.5
Standard projection6.96.6
Rank this weekWR35WR32
Matchupat CHIat ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.27.4
Last season per game5.010.1
Snap share, last game59%65%
Trade value——