Jaylen WaddleorKhalil Shakir?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir outscores Jaylen Waddle in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Waddle comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Khalil Shakir, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Khalil Shakir has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (6% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR36 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.9 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 69% |
| Trade value | 3 | — |