Antonio WilliamsorKhalil Shakir?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir outscores Antonio Williams in 63% of simulations.
Antonio Williams still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Khalil Shakir is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Antonio Williams in Week 10, Khalil Shakir in Week 9. Khalil Shakir projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Antonio Williams has the better matchup against the New York Giants (3% more than average to WRs); Khalil Shakir faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Khalil Shakir still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Antonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Rank this week | WR50 | Not ranked |
| Matchup | at NYG | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 67% |
| Trade value | — | — |