Courtland SuttonorKhalil Shakir?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores Khalil Shakir in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Khalil Shakir comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Khalil Shakir projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Courtland Sutton faces the Los Angeles Chargers (6% fewer than average to WRs), Khalil Shakir faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR39 |
| Matchup | at LAC | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.3 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |