Khalil ShakirorMakai Lemon?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir outscores Makai Lemon in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Makai Lemon comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Khalil Shakir, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Makai Lemon projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Makai Lemon has the better matchup against the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs); Khalil Shakir faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Khalil Shakir still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Khalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Makai LemonWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR40 |
| Matchup | at MIN | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |