DeMario DouglasorXavier Worthy?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy outscores DeMario Douglas in 58% of simulations.
DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Xavier Worthy is the better bet, not a sure thing. DeMario Douglas projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Xavier Worthy faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs), DeMario Douglas faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR41 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 5.0 | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |