Adonai MitchellorXavier Worthy?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy outscores Adonai Mitchell in 58% of simulations.

Adonai Mitchell still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Xavier Worthy is the better bet, not a sure thing. Xavier Worthy projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Xavier Worthy faces the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs), Adonai Mitchell faces the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Adonai Mitchell
Floor
0.5
Median
4.2
Ceiling
15.1
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
62%
Xavier Worthy
Floor
2.2
Median
5.8
Ceiling
11.7
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatAdonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETXavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.36.5
PPR projection7.68.5
Standard projection5.04.5
Rank this weekWR43WR41
Matchupvs BUFat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.16.3
Last season per game4.56.4
Snap share, last game89%74%
Trade value——