Brian Thomas Jr.orXavier Worthy?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy outscores Brian Thomas Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brian Thomas Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Xavier Worthy projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Brian Thomas Jr. has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (1% more than average to WRs); Xavier Worthy faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Xavier Worthy still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 57%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brian Thomas Jr.WR, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 6.2 |
| PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR41 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.2 | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |