Tory HortonorXavier Worthy?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy outscores Tory Horton in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tory Horton comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tory Horton projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Xavier Worthy has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Denver Broncos (19% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Xavier Worthy wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Tory Horton is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.4 | 6.2 |
| PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR37 | WR41 |
| Matchup | at DEN | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 7.3 | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 17% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |