Chris Godwin Jr.orTory Horton?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Godwin Jr.
Chris Godwin Jr. outscores Tory Horton in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tory Horton comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Chris Godwin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Denver Broncos (19% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Godwin Jr. wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Tory Horton is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 12.4
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.4 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | WR36 | WR37 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.8 | 6.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 17% |
| Trade value | — | — |