Adonai MitchellorTory Horton?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tory Horton
Tory Horton outscores Adonai Mitchell in 56% of simulations.
Adonai Mitchell still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Tory Horton is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 5.6 half-PPR points in Week 10. Tory Horton has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs); Adonai Mitchell faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Adonai Mitchell is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 67%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 65%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Adonai MitchellWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| Standard projection | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR47 | WR48 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at LV |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.1 | 4.1 |
| Last season per game | 4.5 | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |