Jahan DotsonorJosh Downs?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Jahan Dotson in 65% of simulations.
Jahan Dotson still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Josh Downs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Downs projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Josh Downs has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs); Jahan Dotson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jahan DotsonWR, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.0 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 5.8 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR54 | WR41 |
| Matchup | at TB | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.0 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 2.7 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 85% |
| Trade value | — | — |