Chris Godwin Jr.orJahan Dotson?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Chris Godwin Jr.

Chris Godwin Jr. outscores Jahan Dotson in 63% of simulations.

Jahan Dotson still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Chris Godwin Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (9% more than average to WRs); Jahan Dotson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Godwin Jr. wins 68%; in Standard leagues, Chris Godwin Jr. wins 58%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Godwin Jr.
Floor
2.0
Median
5.7
Ceiling
12.1
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
53%
Jahan Dotson
Floor
0.6
Median
3.7
Ceiling
11.6
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
69%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatChris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETJahan DotsonWR, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.65.0
PPR projection8.65.8
Standard projection4.64.2
Rank this weekWR39WR54
Matchupvs ATLat TB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.76.0
Last season per game7.42.7
Snap share, last game73%56%
Trade value——