Jerry JeudyorJosh Downs?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Jerry Jeudy in 62% of simulations.
Jerry Jeudy still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Josh Downs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Downs projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Downs faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs), Jerry Jeudy faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 10.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jerry JeudyWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 6.7 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR53 | WR41 |
| Matchup | at PIT | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 61% | 85% |
| Trade value | — | — |