KC ConcepcionorXavier Worthy?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Xavier Worthy in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Xavier Worthy comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Xavier Worthy projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Xavier Worthy faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Xavier Worthy is the pick at 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 6.2 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR41 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |