Jordan AddisonorQuentin Johnston?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores Jordan Addison in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Addison comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Addison projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jordan Addison has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs); Quentin Johnston faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Quentin Johnston still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.4 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR44 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 3.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 87% |
| Trade value | — | — |