Quentin JohnstonorTre Tucker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores Tre Tucker in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tre Tucker comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tre Tucker projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Quentin Johnston faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs), Tre Tucker faces the Kansas City Chiefs (19% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.4 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR41 |
| Matchup | at SEA | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.4 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.2 | 7.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | — |