DK MetcalforKeenan Allen?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen outscores DK Metcalf in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DK Metcalf comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keenan Allen projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); DK Metcalf faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, DK Metcalf is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Keenan AllenWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR40 | WR36 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 8.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |