DK MetcalforTre Tucker?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf outscores Tre Tucker in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tre Tucker comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean DK Metcalf, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tre Tucker projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Tre Tucker has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (7% more than average to WRs); DK Metcalf faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1% fewer than average to WRs). DK Metcalf still wins more often despite that. DK Metcalf is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DK Metcalf
Floor
0.0
Median
7.6
Ceiling
15.6
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Tre Tucker
Floor
1.2
Median
6.4
Ceiling
18.7
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
47%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETTre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.28.3
PPR projection9.910.2
Standard projection6.56.4
Rank this weekWR31WR30
Matchupat TBvs BUF
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game7.88.5
Last season per game10.57.8
Snap share, last game92%75%
Trade value5—