Antonio WilliamsorDK Metcalf?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Antonio Williams in 67% of simulations.
Antonio Williams still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so DK Metcalf is the better bet, not a sure thing. DK Metcalf projects 2.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Antonio Williams has the better matchup against the New York Giants (3% more than average to WRs); DK Metcalf faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs). DK Metcalf still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Antonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 9.9 |
| Standard projection | 4.0 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR50 | WR32 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 7.7 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | — |