Keenan AllenorMarvin Harrison Jr.?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Marvin Harrison Jr.
Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores Keenan Allen in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Marvin Harrison Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (24% more than average to WRs); Keenan Allen faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (6% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Marvin Harrison Jr. wins 59%. Keenan Allen is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marvin Harrison Jr.WR, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR32 |
| Matchup | at PIT | vs DET |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |