DeMario DouglasorMarvin Harrison Jr.?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr. outscores DeMario Douglas in 60% of simulations.

DeMario Douglas still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Marvin Harrison Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); DeMario Douglas faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

DeMario Douglas
Floor
0.9
Median
4.5
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
61%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Floor
2.0
Median
6.1
Ceiling
13.6
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
49%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeMario DouglasWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETMarvin Harrison Jr.WR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.37.2
PPR projection7.48.5
Standard projection5.25.9
Rank this weekWR45WR41
Matchupvs NYJat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.64.3
Last season per game5.08.9
Snap share, last game49%65%
Trade value——