Jalen CokerorJosh Downs?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Jalen Coker in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Coker comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Josh Downs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Coker projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Downs faces the Washington Commanders (23% more than average to WRs), Jalen Coker faces the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs). Jalen Coker is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.1 | 8.6 |
| PPR projection | 11.1 | 10.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 6.3 |
| Rank this week | WR26 | WR28 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at WAS |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.4 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 6.7 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 68% |
| Trade value | — | — |