Antonio WilliamsorQuentin Johnston?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores Antonio Williams in 68% of simulations.
Antonio Williams still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Quentin Johnston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quentin Johnston projects 3.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Quentin Johnston has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); Antonio Williams faces the New York Giants (3% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Quentin Johnston wins 62%; in Standard leagues, Quentin Johnston wins 73%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Antonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.7 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.0 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR50 | WR28 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 5.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |