KC ConcepcionorQuentin Johnston?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores KC Concepcion in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: KC Concepcion comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quentin Johnston projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Quentin Johnston faces the Kansas City Chiefs (22% fewer than average to WRs). Quentin Johnston still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, KC Concepcion is the pick at 53%; in Standard leagues, Quentin Johnston wins 66%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.3
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| Standard projection | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR37 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |