Chris Godwin Jr.orXavier Worthy?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy outscores Chris Godwin Jr. in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Godwin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (12% more than average to WRs); Xavier Worthy faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs). Xavier Worthy still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 11.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.9 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| Standard projection | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR47 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.0 | 6.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |