Chris Godwin Jr.orKeon Coleman?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keon Coleman
Keon Coleman outscores Chris Godwin Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Godwin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Keon Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keon Coleman projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (26% more than average to WRs); Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs). Keon Coleman still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR35 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 8.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 78% |
| Trade value | — | — |