Germie BernardorKeon Coleman?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Germie Bernard
Germie Bernard outscores Keon Coleman in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keon Coleman comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Germie Bernard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Germie Bernard projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Germie Bernard faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the New York Jets (6% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Keon Coleman is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Germie BernardWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| Standard projection | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR43 | WR46 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.3 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |