Keon ColemanorXavier Worthy?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy outscores Keon Coleman in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keon Coleman comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keon Coleman projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Xavier Worthy has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs); Keon Coleman faces the New York Jets (6% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Keon Coleman is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 11.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| Rank this week | WR46 | WR47 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 61% | 74% |
| Trade value | — | — |