Kalif RaymondorKhalil Shakir?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir outscores Kalif Raymond in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kalif Raymond comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Khalil Shakir, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kalif Raymond projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Khalil Shakir faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs), Kalif Raymond faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kalif Raymond
Floor
1.6
Median
5.6
Ceiling
13.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%
Khalil Shakir
Floor
2.2
Median
5.7
Ceiling
12.0
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETKhalil ShakirWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.86.6
PPR projection8.48.4
Standard projection5.14.7
Rank this weekWR44WR48
Matchupvs NYJvs NE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.34.5
Last season per game3.78.1
Snap share, last game75%73%
Trade value——