Kalif RaymondorMack Hollins?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins outscores Kalif Raymond in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kalif Raymond comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mack Hollins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kalif Raymond projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Mack Hollins faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to WRs), Kalif Raymond faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kalif Raymond
Floor
1.6
Median
5.6
Ceiling
13.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%
Mack Hollins
Floor
2.4
Median
5.9
Ceiling
11.7
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
51%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETMack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.86.6
PPR projection8.48.4
Standard projection5.14.9
Rank this weekWR44WR47
Matchupvs NYJat BUF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.37.2
Last season per game3.76.5
Snap share, last game75%76%
Trade value——